CHAMPIONS LEAGUE: REAL MADRID - JUVENTUS

In this post tips and detailed review of the second leg in Madrid between Real Madrid and Juventus, after the 2-1 in Turin.


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REAL MADRID - JUVENTUS


After the result of the first leg this is surely the most interesting semifinal.

Both teams do not have any particular absences, expection made for Modric in Real lineups but we have already wrote a lot about this big lack in spanish team in the previous post relative to the first round.


What do bookmakers think about this match?


According to the main bookmakers, although the 2-1 loss, Real is still the favourite team. Sporting Bet, 10Bet, William Hill, Paddy Power and Betfair consider Real as the favourite team to reach the final with odds between 1.66 and 1.72.


Summing up, a 1-0 win would be enough for Real Madrid, because they scored a goal in Turin, 2-1 would mean extra time.

Juventus would get the access to the final with any kind of positive result and even with a loss but scoring at least 2 goals (3-2, 4-3, 5-4 but this is fantafootball).


Real performance in the last round of Liga


Not that brilliant, again: 2-2 draw against Valencia, a tough team to be faced in this 2015, but in any case Real should have won this match, because Barcelona is now 4 points above and Liga seems to be gone.


Real's weak points


Marcelo and Carvajal are really dangerous when it comes to attack, but they are surely not perfect in the defensive phase.

Moreover, the goalie, Casillas is far from being perfect and does not assure certainty.

Pepe is a good central back but often shows some lacks, while Varane will be really a good defender in the prospect but often makes mistakes due to his inexperience.

Sergio Ramos is the only skilled player in the defense but only when playing as lateral back and not as a midfielder as seen in Turin.


True, but Real scores and a lot!


Although the lacks in the defensive phase, Real Madrid scores so much and also trees, rocks and walls know it!

A good news is that Benzema is finally available and in any case Chicarito Hernandez is on a good shape.

Some doubts about Toni Kroos, out in the first half in the last Liga round against Valencia for a muscular injury, but he should fix it and be available tomorrow.

James Rodriguez is playing really good.

Bale has a huge potential but with the 4-3-3 often alternates ugly performances to excellent ones (against Valencia he played a great match).


Why does Juventus still have possibilites to reach the final?


First of all they won the first leg, increasing trust in their skills, but have also showed they can play on equal terms against Real Madrid.

Juventus defense is really soilid but this solidity could be penalized by the module chosen by Allegri: 4-3-1-2.

We have already talked about that: when Juventus adopts 4-3-1-2 scores more than the times they use the 3-5-2 but at the same time they concede a bit more goals.


In our opinion Allegri has chosen the 4 men defense in order to avoid a defensive approach of his men since the beginning.

With 3-5-2 they could mainly think about defending all the time and lowering the baricenter: a big mistake, in short, because Real would be attacking all the time and in 90' they would easily score at least 1 goal (let's remember that 1-0 would give the qualification to the spanish team).

Moreover, with the 3-5-2 there would be less chances to hit counterattacking and Juventus is forced to score if they want to reach the final.

With a 4-3-1-2, Tevez and Morata could be really dangerous with their pace and Juventus has already showed they are masters in this kind of game style as seen in Dortmund (0-3).


In our opinion is going to be a fight, a very open challenge, but in any case we expect a match where Real will probably have the best.


REAL MADRID (4-3-3): Casillas; Carvajal, Pepe, Ramos, Marcelo; Kroos, Isco, Rodriguez; Bale, Ronaldo, Benzema.

JUVENTUS (4-3-1-2): Buffon; Lichtsteiner, Bonucci, Chiellini, Evra; Marchisio, Pirlo, Pogba; Vidal; Morata, Tevez.

 

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE (1.78, Sporting Bet)
1 (1.67, Matchbook)
OVER 2.5 (1.82, 10Bet)
OVER 1.5 2nd HALF (2.10, Sporting Bet)

POSSIBLE SCORE: 2-1

 

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