Italian Serie A Match Week 19 - Betting tips, previews and Accumulator

Betting tips and previews of Serie A matches scheduled on 7th and 8th January.

 

Betting tips and previews of Serie A matches scheduled on 7th and 8th January.


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Serie A Round 19 Match Previews

 

The midpoint of the italian season hits the first Saturday of the new year.

Serie A Match Week 19 starts on Saturday with Empoli-Palermo and Napoli-Sampdoria and goes on the day after with the remaining eight games.

In the following post we analyzed each match giving also betting tips and a cool accumulator.

 

Empoli and Palermo both showed decent performances in their last matches of the 2016.
Empoli have indeed drawn 0-0 in Bologna and won 2-0 over Cagliari before losing the last match of the year 2-1 in Bergamo (vs Atalanta).
Palermo have already changed two managers but the current one, Eugenio Corini, has already collected some points beating Genoa in Marassi Stadium and drawing the home match against Pescara because of a penalty kick given to Pescara after the 90'.
Both teams are involved in the relegation battle but home side are 4 points above Rosanero and that must be kept on mind when you choose to bet on this match.
In our opinion it wil be hard to see lots of goals here as usually this kind of match in Italy tend to be hard fought in the midfield with both sides extremely focused on the defensive phase.

We set Empoli as favourite and our main choice here is EMPOLI DOUBLE CHANCE + UNDER 3.5 GOALS: Palermo with Corini have become much more defensive, giving up with the ball possession seen with De Zerbi, while Empoli have notoriously problems in scoring with ease but at least defense, often helped by Skorupski, is quite solid.

 

2017 begins with several line up issues for Napoli especially in the defense where coach Sarri will be forced to rely on an unprecedented central backs duo (Maksimovic-Tonelli) since Albiol is suspended while Koulibaly joined Senegal in the AFCON.
Also Ghoulam is playing for his country in the African Cup of Nations and then left lateral back will be Strinic.
Latest news say that Hysaj has got flu and will be replaced by Maggio.
Basically Napoli's defense is totally new and Sampdoria can only be happy of that.
Blucerchiati have an offensive gamestyle and often try to hit counterattacking with the pace of Muriel.
Napoli-Samp ended 2-2 in the past season and all last five meetings all ended BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE with a total amount of 25 goals scored in the partial.
Our main choice here is HOME WIN + OVER 2.5 GOALS because Napoli are in good form and Sampdoria tend to concede a bit too much especially on the road and will be hard to stop the most profilic attack of the league so far.
We also like OVER 1.5 GOALS 1st HALF because Sampdoria have already conceded 14 goals in the first halves while only 10 in the second ones and Napoli are the team with most shoot attempts in the 1st half (268) with 16 goals scored.

 

Udinese have improved a lot since Delneri became the new manager and the 3 wins in a row collected before the draw aginst Sampdoria (0-0) are a clear evidence that Udinese are in a good moment.
Delneri can not count on Badu and Wague both playing the AFCON (African Cup of Nations), but at least Widmer is back in the squad and will surely be in the starting line up against Inter.
Inter are doing great with Pioli: last 3 matches saw Nerazzurri always prevail scoring a total amount of 6 goals and conceding none.
Joao Mario is back available after suspension and should find a place in the middle along with Brozovic.
Banega will be in the offensive trio behind Icardi along with Candreva and Perisic.
In our opinion Inter can have the best here but considering Udinese's form INTER DOUBLE CHANCE + OVER 1.5 GOALS is a much safer choice, indeed Udinese have scored at least a goal in 9 of their last 10 Serie A home matches.

Chievo-Atalanta is a very tough match.
Chievo are notoriously fearsome in Bentegodi Stadium where only Milan and Juventus have won so far while Atalanta have been the real surprise of the league with their pleasant offensive football.
Christmas break allowed Chievo recover the injured players such as Castro, Hetemaj, Gobbi and Cacciatore and now coach Maran can count on the whole squad.
Atalanta, instead, have lost Franck Kessiè busy with the AFCON and will be replaced by Remo Freuler.
As said above, Chievo are almost unbeatable at home and usually their matches often end UNDER 2.5 GOALS.
Our safest choice is CHIEVO DOUBLE CHANCE + UNDER 3.5 GOALS.

 


Genoa meet Roma at Marassi Stadium without Rincon and Pavoletti both transferred few days ago: Rincon joined Juventus while Pavoletti went to Napoli who are ready to accept a €20 mln bid from Wolfsburg for Manolo Gabbiadini.
Coach Djuric has already promoted Giovanni Simeone as the new number 9 recently and "El Cholito" has immediately showed his skills but the club brought back Mauricio Pinilla from Atalanta.
The chilean striker is very discontinous and often injured but when he is fit can be very dangerous and will be very useful.
Probably what weakened Genoa the most is the absence of Rincon in the midfield considering also that Miguel Veloso will be injured till next February.
Genoa have only lost once at home so far (vs Palermo 3-4) and have beaten Milan and Juventus.
Roma have only managed to win 3 of their 9 away matches losing 4 times.
Salah is unavailabe again (African Cup of Nations): the egyptian has scored 8 goals and served 5 winning passes in the season and his absence was really evident in the previous matches.
Hard match in terms of betting: we choose BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE because of the chronic Roma's trend to concede goals easily.

 

Lazio have the chance to forget the 3-0 defeat against Inter of the last round in the next home clash vs Crotone.
Home win is expectable although Simone Inzaghi can not count on some key offensive players: Feliper Anderson and Lulic are suspended while Keita went in Africa to play the AFCON.
Without its offensive wingers Inzaghi will probably adopt a more defensive 3-5-1-1.
Considering that Crotone has improved their defensive phase having conceded more than 2 goals only once in their last 11 matches, we do not expect an easy home win.
Crotone will stay on the defensive for the whole time and the absence of the goalie Cordaz could be decisive.

Our prediction here is HOME WIN + CLEAN SHEET.

 

After 18 rounds Pescara have been unble to win a Serie A game (0-3 against Sassuolo was assigned by forfeit because of some irregularities): with 6 draws and 11 losses obtained, Pescara need to invest a lot in the current transfer window otherwise the relegation will be assured.
Maybe there is the need of a change on the bench: Coach Oddo is trying to give an offensive mentality to his players but numbers say that Pescara have the worst ratio shoot attempts/goals scored of the league and also the worst accuracy in these attempts (only 37% on target).
The new arrival Alberto Cerri, who comes from Serie B, is still too unexperienced and in our opinion there is the need of some more player if they really want to stay in Serie A.
Meanwhile it will be hard to stop Fiorentina.
Both teams adopts an offensive football and will probably be a pleasant match to watch where Fiorentina is favourite for the win: Bernardeschi and Kalinic are in a good form and Fiorentina's defensive lacks will be probably hidden by Pescara's weak offensive efficacy.

 

Sassuolo begins the new year in the same way the old has ended: emergency.
Injured players are still too many although Berardi and Politano have started to train with the group finally but it will be hard to see them in the clash against Torino.
Coach Di Francesco has to face also the suspensions of Mazzitelli and Pellegrini in the midfield and for that reason the new arrival Alberto Aquilani will probably find a place from the start.
The game vs Torino is expected to be nice and with goals.
In the latest 17 Sassuolo's official matches, BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE and OVER 2.5 GOALS both occurred 10 times.
Torino also have an offensive mentality, given by the coach Mihajlovic at the beginning of the season and confirmed by the great numbers of Belotti, Iago Falque and Ljajic.
Toro's offensive trio has already scored 28 goals and in our opinion have good chances to hit Sassuolo.
We have a preference for Torino but our main choice is BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE.

 

We expect a very determined Juventus after the defeat occurred in the Italian Super Cup against Milan.
Bianconeri have always played great matches after a previous defeat: 4-0 win over Cagliari (after the defeat vs Inter), 4-1 to Sampdoria (after the defeat vs Milan) and 3-1 over a great Atalanta (the round after the loss vs Genoa).
Bologna are 10 points above relegation zone thanks to the 4 points obtained from their last two games of 2016.
It will be a prohibitive away game for Bologna that will probably get away Juventus Stadium with a clear defeat.

 

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Serie A Round 19 Betting Tips

 

 

EMPOLI - PALERMO

EMPOLI DC + UNDER 3.5 GOALS

UNDER 1.5 GOALS 1st HALF

POSSIBLE SCORE: 1-0

 

NAPOLI - SAMPDORIA

HOME WIN

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

OVER 2.5 GOALS

OVER 1.5 GOALS 1st HALF

POSSIBLE SCORE: 3-1

 

UDINESE - INTER

INTER DC + OVER 1.5 GOALS

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

AWAY WIN

POSSIBLE SCORE: 1-2

 

CHIEVO - ATALANTA

CHIEVO DOUBLE CHANCE

DRAW

UNDER 3.5 GOALS

POSSIBLE SCORE: 1-1

 

GENOA - ROMA

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

POSSIBLE SCORE: 1-1

 

LAZIO - CROTONE

HOME WIN + CLEAN SHEET

HOME WIN HANDICAP (0:1)

POSSIBLE SCORE: 2-0

 

PESCARA - FIORENTINA

AWAY WIN

FIORENTINA DC + OVER 1.5 GOALS

POSSIBLE SCORE: 0-2

 

SASSUOLO - TORINO

BOTH TEAMS TO SCORE

OVER 2.5 GOALS

TORINO DOUBLE CHANCE

POSSIBLE SCORE: 1-2

 

MILAN - CAGLIARI

HOME WIN

HOME WIN HALF/FULL TIME

OVER 2.5 GOALS

POSSIBLE SCORE: 3-1

 

JUVENTUS - BOLOGNA

HOME WIN

HOM WIN + CLEAN SHEET

HOME WIN HANDICAP (0:1)

HOME WIN HALF/FULL TIME

POSSIBLE SCORE: 3-0

 

 


Serie A Round 19 Accumulator

 

NAPOLI - SAMPDORIA

OVER 2.5 GOALS

 

UDINESE - INTER
INTER DC + OVER 1.5 GOALS

 

CHIEVO - ATALANTA
CHIEVO DOUBLE CHANCE

 

LAZIO - CROTONE
HOME WIN HANDICAP (0:1)

 

PESCARA - FIORENTINA
AWAY WIN

 

SASSUOLO - TORINO
TORINO DOUBLE CHANCE

 

MILAN - CAGLIARI
HOME WIN

 

JUVENTUS - BOLOGNA
HOME WIN HANDICAP (0:1)

 

 

ODDS: 45.60

 

 


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